Scenarios and Strategies for Africa

IREN A Headquarters

C67 Office Building, Khalidiyah (32nd) Street

P.O. Box 236, Abu Dhabi,

United Arab Emirates

Copyright 2011

Scenarios and Strategies for Africa


In 2011, IRENA will start developing scenarios and strategies for Africa. This is a pilot study for a project that will ultimately encompass the whole world. The selection of Africa first indicates the priority that the IRENA work programme places on the continent.

In the framework of the 2011 IRENA work programme, the analysis of scenarios and strategies will feed into the renewables readiness assessment, which will assess policy priorities and best practices in renewable energy policy-making. This, in turn, will be the basis for financing investment and capacity building activities.

Energy policy advice must consider issues, such as the structure of energy supply and demand, the past and future energy trends, renewable energy resources, energy economics and technology access. Scenarios and strategies are key tools for such an analysis.

Regional and national differences must be considered and individual sectors and end-use categories further analysed. These include power generation, cooking, heating, industrial process heat, and transport. Urban and rural solutions will be dealt with separately, as well as centralised and decentralised solutions. The analysis will cover issues, such as potentials, technology, supply chains and investment needs.

The work will be organised in four strands:

  • Technology/sector-specific analyses;
  • Model-based scenario analysis for the power sector and techno-economic scenarios for end-use sectors;
  • Discussions with an expert reference group; and
  • Dialogue with target countries, banks, development agencies and the private sector.

The African Ministers are invited to:

  • Comment on whether the proposed topics and questions cover the most relevant innovation and technology issues for renewable energy in Africa;
  • Help identify recent scenario studies and strategies for Africa;
  • Identify institutions and experts from Africa that should be involved in the analysis;
  • Participate in high-level regional and national meetings to discuss outcomes in 2012.